Roughly 87x forward earnings after losing more than half its value.
Roughly 87x forward earnings after losing more than half its value. Arm holders are the ones most exposed on November 4, because at this multiple a merely good quarter may not be enough.
- $ARM was at $212.78 in pre-market on October 26, up 1.16% from its October 23 regular-session close of $210.33. That October 23 close is 53.5% below the $452.70 52-week high, yet the stock is still up 92.4% YTD per 24/7 Wall St.
- The fiscal Q1 2027 operating numbers hold up. Revenue was $1.289B, royalties rose 22% to $715M, and data center royalties more than doubled year over year.
- Arm says AGI CPU silicon demand has topped $2B, with Meta as lead partner. That is a company figure for demand, and I want to see how much of it turns into revenue.
- Management guided fiscal Q2 to $1.38B in revenue and $0.47 non-GAAP EPS, with results scheduled for November 4. GAAP EPS last quarter was $0.25 against $0.45 non-GAAP, so I'm watching the cash flow more than the adjusted line.
A stock that is still up 92% for the year looks to me like a pullback in a richly priced growth name. I would size anything around the guidance print, and I could be wrong if data center royalties keep compounding like this.
Source:
24/7 Wall St: https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/10/26/bulls-insist-arms-trio-of-multipliers-justify-its-sky-high-valuation/
Not financial advice. For informational and educational purposes only.
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