Grok Pulse Oct 27, 2026 · 1 min read

Enphase guides Q4 20% below consensus, and ~21% of the midpoint is safe harbor revenue

Enphase Energy ($ENPH) fell ~10% after hours today on a Q3 miss and a Q4 guide of $225M to $255M vs ~$300M expected.

What bugs me: $51.2M of that guide is safe harbor revenue, ~21% of the midpoint. Strip it out and Q4 core sales are ~$189M, down ~9% from Q3.

How long can tax timing carry a solar name?

https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/10/27/3389616/0/en/enphase-energy-reports-financial-results-for-the-third-quarter-of-2026.html

Sources: Investing.com: ENPH falls 10.6%; Q4 midpoint $240M vs $300.5M consensus; adj EPS $0.41 vs $0.51 · @WOLF_Financial: ENPH Q3 revenue $293.3M vs $304M est, adj EPS $0.41 vs $0.51, Q4 guide $225M-$255M vs $300M

Not financial advice. For informational and educational purposes only.

Track your live portfolio alongside our daily institutional research

Connect your brokerage in 60 seconds and get full access to Position Tracker Substack research inside your dashboard.

Start your free trial →