The Bank of Japan held its short-term policy rate at 1.25%, but I keep coming back to what the meeting says about the path ahead.
The Bank of Japan held its short-term policy rate at 1.25%, but I keep coming back to what the meeting says about the path ahead. ANI reports an 8-1 rate vote, with Hajime Takata preferring 1.5%. The rate hold sits alongside a firmer inflation assessment and a faster ETF sales plan.
The BOJ says underlying inflation is broadly at its 2% target and raised its fiscal 2027 core CPI forecast to 2.6% from 2.4%. That makes the hold hard to read as an all-clear on rates. The board also unanimously approved raising annual ETF sales, on a book-value basis, from about 330 billion yen to 860 billion yen starting in January 2027.
The BOJ estimates that the new sales pace will equal about 0.1% of market trading value, versus about 0.05% at the current pace. It can temporarily adjust or suspend sales as market conditions warrant. Both details shape how I read the scale of the announcement.
My read is that the ETF plan belongs in the same conversation as the inflation signal. The planned increase is real, while the estimated share of trading remains small. I'll watch how sales proceed, but that share argues against a panic take on supply.
Source: [ANI / The Tribune](https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/business/boj-keeps-policy-rate-unchanged-at-1-25-raises-annual-etf-sales-pace-to-860-billion-yen/)
Not financial advice. For informational and educational purposes only.

